Daily Market Update – November 7, 2016 (Close)

 

 

Daily Market Update –  November 7, 2016 (Close)


Early yesterday evening the S&P 500 futures were expressing a strong desire to break the 9 day long streak that broke a 36 year record for consecutive daily losses.

It may be coincidental, but after a week in which the declines were based on growing concerns that Donald Trump could find a path to 270 electoral votes, the evening’s strong advance came as some of the air was let out of the sails.

In the early trading the market was up nearly 1.5%, perhaps strengthening the belief that a Clinton victory could recoup everything that was lost in the previous 9 sessions.

The alternative, a Trump victory, could possibly then be the next step in taking the current 5% decline into correction territory.

Other than the election and lots of retailers reporting earnings this week, there really isn’t too much going on.

The market didn’t care and once it opened up for real, it just got stronger and stronger, ending the day almost 2.5% higher.

And, there may still be more to come.

A Clinton victory and some good retail guidance will almost assure FOMC action next month and I think the former alone will lead to a buying spree, as will the latter.

I don’t have much going on this week.

Just a single position set to expire and a single ex-dividend position.

If the market decides to continue with a large rally to start the week or in response to the election, I’m more than happy to just go along for the ride.

Today was a good start.

I wouldn’t mind that continuing to be the case and perhaps being in better position the following week to either see some assignments or at least get to do some rollovers.

At this point, I would just like to see some certainty, even if the answers aren’t what I would have wanted to have heard.

Still, 2016 has been good to me and could even get much better with another climb by energy and commodity prices.

.


Daily Market Update – November 7, 2016

 

 

Daily Market Update –  November 7, 2016 (7:30 AM)


Early yesterday evening the S&P 500 futures were expressing a strong desire to break the 9 day long streak that broke a 26 year record for consecutive daily losses.

It may be coincidental, but after a week in which the declines were based on growing concerns that Donald Trump could find a path to 270 electoral votes, the evening’s strong advance came as some of the air was let out of the sails.

In the early trading the market was up nearly 1.5%, perhaps strengthening the belief that a Clinton victory could recoup everything that was lost in the previous 9 sessions.

The alternative, a Trump victory, could possibly then be the next step in taking the current 5% decline into correction territory.

Other than the election and lots of retailers reporting earnings this week, there really isn’t too much going on.

A Clinton victory and some good retail guidance will almost assure FOMC action next month and I think the former alone will lead to a buying spree, as will the latter.

I don’t have much going on this week.

Just a single position set to expire and a single ex-dividend position.

If the market decides to continue with a large rally to start the week or in response to the election, I’m more than happy to just go along for the ride.

I wouldn’t mind that being the case and perhaps being in better position the following week to either see some assignments or at least get to do some rollovers.

At this point, I would just like to see some certainty, even if the answers aren’t what I would have wanted to have heard.

Still, 2016 has been good to me and could even get much better with another climb by energy and commodity prices.

.


Dashboard – November 7 – 11. 2016

 

 

 

 

 

SELECTIONS

MONDAY:    Late night futures had the market up 1.5%, perhaps not coincidentally related to the dark cloud over Clinton being somewhat lifted just days ahead of the final chance to vote

TUESDAY:    The market clearly didn’t like the idea of an outsider winning the election as it recovered nearly half of the 5% decline of the past 2 months. Trading, to begin Election Day looks flat, but tomorrow morning may be a very different story

WEDNESDAY:  .Wow.

THURSDAY:  Yesterday’s session was an eye opening “Wow” in the pre-open futures and then a real “uber-Wow” as trading came to an end, as the market roared back nearly 1100 points from its pre-opening lows. Wow. Today, there may be even more to come.

FRIDAY:. What a week. Now it’s time to move on and see what awaits, as the market acquits itself, sitting at all time highs.


 

 



 

                                                                                                                                           

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Weekend Update – November 6, 2016

Some days we really have no clue as to what made the market move as it did, but nothing bothers us more than not knowing the reasons for everything.

We tend to like neat little answers and no untied bundles.

It starts early in life when we begin to ask the dreaded “Why?” question.

We want answers at an early stage in life even when we have no capacity to understand those answers. We also often make the mistake of querying the wrong people to answer those questions, simply on the basis of their ready availability and familiarity.

Those on the receiving end of  questions usually feel some obligation to provide an answer even if poorly equipped to do so.

While the market has now gone into a 9 consecutive day decline, it seems only natural to wonder why that’s been happening and of course, some people, have to offer their expert explanation.

It is of course understandable that the question is posed, as earnings haven’t been terrible and neither have economic data. Yet, a 9 day decline hasn’t happened since 1980 and has taken the market into a stealth 5% decline.

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