Daily Market Update – December 5, 2016 (Close)

 

 

Daily Market Update –  December 5, 2016 (Close)


The week looks as if it wants to get back to the Trump Rally.

Futures were showing a decent gain and there really didn’t appear to be any headwinds, even as the FOMC is getting ready to announce their first interest rate cut in a year.

It would also be only the second rate increase in about 10 years, even as we were expecting multiple rate hikes this year.

Now that expectation is for 2017.

At the moment, the stock market seems to be reacting precisely the same way it did last year.

But if it follows what id did last year, then a week or two after the rumor becomes news, it may be a good time to be positioned to pick up some bargains.

I’m at my highest cash position in quite some time and have enjoyed a really good 2016.

Being more and more in cash means that some of that really good year has been realized and not just on paper.

Of course, it also means potentially missing out some on any more rally that may await.

I do think that there’s more ahead, but this time I think that it may finally be corporate earnings that will move us forward, or at least offset whatever fear may hit investors if multiple rate hikes become a concern.

With cash in hand, multiple ex-dividend positions and a couple of positions expiring this week, I’m in a good position.

I have cash coming in, but also available for anything that looks good.

With a number of positions also expiring next week, I’m looking forward to closing the books on 2016.

I’m not quite certain what to expect this week, nor what I may do, nut I don’t think that I’ll be too busy trading.

Lately, going along for the ride and finding some opportunities to sell calls on uncovered positions has been a nice way to go.

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Daily market Update – December 5, 2016

 

 

Daily Market Update –  December 5, 2016 (7:30 AM)


The week looks as if it wants to get back to the Trump Rally.

Futures are showing a decent gain and there really don’t appear to be any headwinds, even as the FOMC is getting ready to announce their first interest rate cut in a year.

It would also be only the second rate increase in about 10 years, even as we were expecting multiple rate hikes this year.

Now that expectation is for 2017.

At the moment, the stock market seems to be reacting precisely the same way it did last year.

But if it follows what id did last year, then a week or two after the rumor becomes news, it may be a good time to be positioned to pick up some bargains.

I’m at my highest cash position in quite some time and have enjoyed a really good 2016.

Being more and more in cash means that some of that really good year has been realized and not just on paper.

Of course, it also means potentially missing out some on any more rally that may await.

I do think that there’s more ahead, but this time I think that it may finally be corporate earnings that will move us forward, or at least offset whatever fear may hit investors if multiple rate hikes become a concern.

With cash in hand, multiple ex-dividend positions and a couple of positions expiring this week, I’m in a good position.

I have cash coming in, but also available for anything that looks good.

With a number of positions also expiring next week, I’m looking forward to closing the books on 2016.

I’m not quite certain what to expect this week, nor what I may do, nut I don’t think that I’ll be too busy trading.

Lately, going along for the ride and finding some opportunities to sell calls on uncovered positions has been a nice way to go.

.


Dashboard – December 5 – 9, 2016

 

 

 

 

 

SELECTIONS

MONDAY:   It looks as if the market may be ready to resume the Trump Rally as the week gets underway

TUESDAY:    Maybe another day of rest today, but the trend is pretty clear.

WEDNESDAY:  More DJIA records yesterday. Maybe a rest today as the rest of the world see their markets advance

THURSDAY:  Well, yesterday was an unexpected surprise. A good one, at that, as the Trump Rally just keeps getting better and better, making it seem less likely that there might be any kind of adverse reaction, including a delayed one, to the upcoming FOMC decision

FRIDAY:. Quite a week, with next week being the FOMC’s long awaited interest rate hike announcement. That may begin the real rally, really distinguishing it from last year’s post-announcement reaction


 

 



 

                                                                                                                                           

Today's TradesCash-o-Meter

 

 

 





 “SNEAK PEEK AT NEXT WEEK” APPEARS ON FRIDAYS

Sneak PeekPie Chart Distribution

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Summary

  

Weekend Update – December 4, 2016

It’s hard to say what really came as more of a surprise.

The fact that we have a President-Elect Trump or the fact that OPEC actually came to something of an agreement this past week.

When it has come to the latter, we’d seen any number of stock market run-ups in anticipation of an OPEC agreement to limit production of crude oil in an effort to force the supply-demand curve to their nefarious favor.

Had you read the previous paragraph during any other phase of your lifetime, you would have basically found it non-sensical.

But in the past 18 months or so, we’ve been in an environment where the stock market looked favorably on a supply driven increase in the price of oil.

So when it seemed as if OPEC was going to come to an agreement to reduce production earlier in the year, stocks soared and then soured when the agreement fell apart.

Unable to learn from the past, the very next time there was rumor of an OPEC agreement stocks soared and then again soured when the predictable happened.

This week, however, everything was different.

Maybe better, too.

Or maybe, not.

What was not better was that OPEC actually came to an agreement, although you can’t be blamed if you withhold judgment in the belief that someone will cheat or that U.S. producers might be enticed to increase production as prices rise.

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Daily Market Update – December 2, 2016

 

 

Daily Market Update –  December 2, 2016 (7:30 AM)


The Week in Review will be posted by 10 PM and the Weekend Update will be posted by Noon on Sunday.

The following trade outcomes are possible today:

Assignments: none

Rollovers: BX

Expirations:   MRO (puts)

The following were ex-dividend this week:    GME (11/29 $0.37), MOS (11/29 $0.275), ANF (11/30 $0.20)

The following are ex-dividend next week:  GM (12/5 $0.38), HAL (12/5 $0.18). KSs (12/5 $0.50). NEM (12/6 $0.05), COH (12/7 $0.34)

Trades, if any, will be attempted to be made prior to 3:30 PM EDT

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