Daily Market Update – December 13, 2016

 

 

Daily Market Update –  December 13, 2016 (7:30 AM)


The FOMC begins its 2 day meeting today and we all know what is going to happen.

That is, unless of course, the FOMC decides to be proactive and not simply reactive.

If that would be the case, look out for a barrage of vitriol laced Tweets from President-Elect Trump.

It’s not very likely that the FOMC would announce anything greater than a 0.5% rate hike, but if it does, all will break loose.

No one wants that, which may be exactly why that should be what is done.

With all of the discussion of infrastructure building and the likelihood of increased demand for oil, coupled with everything else going on in the economy, someone, somewhere is going to be thinking about inflation in the way we used to think about it.

Besides, the FOMC is really late to the game as the natural market forces were there first.

I don’t expect it to be a factor in what I do this week, but I’m actually happy to have my cash level as high as it is at the moment.

I may still have some interest in spending some money before the week is over, but not too much.

I’d be much happier finding something to do with all of those positions expiring this week.

I’ll leave the rest up to the smart people in the FOMC meeting over the next 2 days.

.


December 12, 2016 (Close)

 

 

Daily Market Update –  December 12, 2016 (Close)


Last week the Trump Rally was in full steam.

This week we do have an FOMC Statement release and a Chairman’s press conference, but there is no reason to believe that anything will change.

At least not as far as the rush to buy stocks.

Suddenly, it seems that the business of America is again business and everyone seems to like that.

Once other issues come into play, like actually running the country within the context of a very complex world, we will find out how the overlay of international events may impact upon our focus on business for business sake and a nation run by billionaires.

For now, I continue to enjoy the idea of just going along for the ride.

TOday the ride turned out not to be all that extreme.

I have more cash set aside this week than has been the case in a long, long time and may be able to add onto the cash reserve this week as the monthly option cycle comes to its end.

I like that idea, even as markets are heading higher.

At this point, I don’t mind having cash around to pick up some bargains that may be in our future.

With money to spend, I’d rather be making my new money on shares that may become newly volatile and have both a chance for capital appreciation and enhanced premiums.

WIth the FOMC Statement release this week and the Chairman’s pres conference, I still might be interested in spending some money and I did.

However, with a couple of ex-dividend positions, maybe some opportunity for rollovers and then assignments, there isn’t that much of a compelling reason to spend much more than was the case today.

That one position was more on the speculative side.

Much more, but I hope to be able to serially play this one out, as I have some hopes that it may be the next Marathon Oil.

.


Daily Market Update – December 12, 2016

 

 

Daily Market Update –  December 12, 2016 (8:30 AM)


Last week the Trump Rally as in full steam.

This week we do have an FOMC STatement release and a CHairman’s press conference, but there is no reason to believe that anything will change.

At least not as far as the rush to buy stocks.

Suddenly, it seems that the business of AMerica is again business and everyone seems to like that.

Once other issues come into play, like actually running the country within the context of a very complex world, we will find out how the overlay of international events may impact upon our focus on business for business sake and a nation run by billionaires.

For now, I continue to enjoy the idea of just going along for the ride.

I have more cash set aside this week than has been the case in a long, long time and may be able to add onto the cash reserve this week as the monthly option cycle comes to its end.

I like that idea, even as markets are heading higher.

At this point, I don’t mind having cash around to pick up some bargains that may be in our future.

With money to spend, I’d rather be making my new money on shares that may become newly volatile and have both a chance for capital appreciation and enhanced premiums.

WIth the FOMC Statement release this week and the CHairman’s pres conference, I still might be interested in spending some money.

However, with a couple of ex-dividend positions, maybe some opportunity for rollovers and then assignments, there isn’t that much of a compelling reason to spend.

.


Dashboard – December 12 – 16, 2016

 

 

 

 

 

SELECTIONS

MONDAY:   The week looks as if it might get off to a slow start ahead of the FOMC, as the Trump Rally went unabated last week.

TUESDAY:    The FOMC meeting that we’ve been waiting for all year begins today, but the Trump Rally doesn’t look as if it wants to take a break

WEDNESDAY:  All focus on the FOMC today, as the futures are taking a much needed breath

THURSDAY:  Three interest rate hikes projected for 2017, instead of just 2, spooked the markets yesterday. Maybe today will bring a little calm and take us nicely to 2017.

FRIDAY:. All appears quiet to end the week.


 

 



 

                                                                                                                                           

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Weekly Summary

  

Weekend Update – December 11, 2016

There are so many ways to look at most things.

Take a runaway train, for example.

The very idea of a “runaway train” probably evokes some thoughts of a disaster about to happen.

Following this past week’s 3.1% gain in the S&P 500, adding to the nearly 4.3% gain since the election result that most everyone thought to be improbable, the market may be taking on some characteristics of a runaway train.

But I don’t really think too much about the inevitable crash that ensues when the train does leave the tracks.

As every physics fan knows, the real challenge behind a runaway train is getting all of that momentum under control.

I don’t think about that, either, though.

What I do think about is trying to understand how to look at momentum.

Momentum, of course, is simply the product of the object’s mass and its velocity.

Mass, of course is nothing more than the force exerted by that object divided by its acceleration.

Acceleration, of course is nothing more than the derivative of an object’s velocity.

So, I like to look at momentum as an expression of the product of an object’s force and its velocity, while at the same time dividing by rate of change in that velocity.

In other words, depending upon how you look at things makes all the difference in the world.


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