Pull the Plug






Pull the PlugI’ve already made my wishes pretty clear.


After seeing the latest George Clooney movie, “The Descendants”, I definitely don’t want the plug to stay in the wall whenever that time comes along, as it most certainly will.


Nor do I want my loved ones tearing me a new one as I helplessly lay comatose in an overpriced hospital room if (when) by chance they discover some dark secret about me that will occur sometime in the distant future.


Or while I was 500 miles away from home today.


It seemed funny in the movie, but I think that would mar the legacy that I’m actively trying to fabricate.


So, in the event that the documents I’ve previously completed in response to the certainty of the former occuring  are misplaced, let today’s blog serve as a legal document as to my intentions.


Pull the plug. Let me go.


But I don’t think that I need to worry about anyone forgetting what my wishes were.


Although letting go is so hard, one of my sons has already given indication that he’s ready to pull as and when needed.


Even going so far as to smother me, if necessary.


On a day like Tuesday when I was up in the air enroute to a meeting, there was very little, if any evidence on Twitter or elsewhere on-line that I was engaged in any cognitive activity. Based on my usual level of activity, Tuesday was if I had flatlined, with only an occasional spasm reminiscent of a neurovascular bundle firing one last time in a headless chicken..


If I neglect to tell my oldest son of such travel plans, he takes my on-line silence as a sign of my death or irreversible incapacity and immediately begins making plans for the reallocation of my portfolio under his watchful eye.


But when the time does come, I know that I’ll be able to count on him, regardless of how difficult or painful the decision may be. However, he is the son that I’ve also had to school of the definition of “terminal illness,” so as no to be confused with a “sinus headache.”


Sometimes it’s not really your time.


This past Friday I wrote about the possibility of taking a loss on my options contracts in Green Mountain Coffee Roasters following the stock’s short term irrational move upward and the looming contract expiration later that same day.


Faced with the crisis of the loss of a loved one, the underlying shares, sometimes you begin to dabble in irrational thoughts that go counter to the rules of nature. After a while, the dignified thing to do is to stop resuscitative efforts and go on.


When it’s your time you keep your option contract premiums and just let the stock go.


But I just didn’t want to lose my shares. I wasn’t ready for the inevitable. I was even willing to take a loss on the option contracts despite knowing that Green Mountain could just as easily choose to succumb to the improper accounting allegations and take me into the crypt along with it.


I thought about the good times I had with Green Mountain in the past, having first bought shares at about $28 probably a year or so ago.


In the meantime we found ourselves frolicking through the lush fields of green that were lined by all of those option premiums. Occasionally we’d lose sight of one another as someone else would come along and exercise their right to take my shares from me, but somehow we always got back together.


And it was always good.


But lately, Green Mountain was becoming unrecognizable to me.


I’d been there before, though. I thought back to some of the other stocks whose plugs I had pulled without even the slightest thought.


Hewlett Packard, Dell Computer and others sharing one predominant characteristic..


In all of the previous cases the decisions weren’t so difficult once I realized that technology stocks and I were never meant to be together. I should have realized that much sooner, as an early venture into the fledgling, but poorly conceived Putnam Information Sciences mutual fund nearly 30 years ago proved to be a poor decision.


“Technology is the next big thing,” or so they said.


With those I never looked back, never thought about sacrificing the options profits for the parent stock.


But I’d professed my love for Green Mountain in front of an audience of dozens.


Or thousands, as I’m not realy certain how many people actually watch Bloomberg Rewind.


I do, but then again, I also anthropromorphize stocks, so maybe I’m not the best one to set an example.


Although I did the right thing, or at least believe I did, the truth is that I couldn’t do without my Green Mountain.


Not the coffee. That’s pretty insipid.


But I repurchased the shares that I’d just lost and proving that I’m incapable of learning from my unfortunate recent journey, went and sold in the money call options on my repurchased shares.


It’s like putting the plug right back in, just to have a chance to pull it again.


Strange, but I could never understand people whose pet had just passed and then immediately went out and got an identical pet as  a replacement for their beloved friend.


Yet, no such thoughts over stocks, despite the tendency to anthropromorphize.


In fact, I’m more than happy to see some shares go with no greater joy than to get them back in the fold as quickly as possible.


Today, while waiting for the plane’s door to be shut at 9:50 AM, I was able to pick up shares of Deere and then do the obligatory thing and sell calls on those shares.


Unfortunately, and yet again, now for the 8th time in about a month, I’ve been aboard a Southwest Airlines jet that wasn’t equipped with Wi-Fi.


But, as it turned out, not too much happened in the 90 minutes that I was cut off from my version of civilization. I really missed nothing other than the chance to not be overly concerned about missing something potentially important.


Upon landing, I picked up some additional shares of Textron, and, you guessed it, sold some call options.


As I think about, my reflexive sale of call options is the ultimate endorsement of pulling the plug.


Most knowledgeable about investor psychology will tell you that the single most difficult thing for an investor to do is to sell shares. Not because it’s so hard to let go, but because greed intervenes and sends the message that whatever profits are available are but a mere pittance of what could be on the table if you only had the cajones.


But by selling calls, especially in the absence of any emotion surrounding their exercise, the decision to sell is made for you as circumstances unfold. It’s the equivalent of Advanced Directives for the investor.


What more of a natural way to see the life of a holding run its course?


No need for controversy, no discussion regarding ethics.


Just a very simpel transaction.


We all know that we’ll all go down that same path, so why not do it in an non-impasioned fashion and maintaining dignity for all?


So for me, there’ll be nor more angst like that which I just went through.


Just as “Ashes to Ashes and dust to dust..” has real meaning, so too should every stock have a life cycle that runs its course without extraordinary intervention.


In the meantimes, believe me, it’s just a sinus headache.


 


 




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Rational or Emotional?






EmotionsIt’s so hard to balance the emotional side from the rational side in all aspects of life.


Although I often write and talk about setting aside human tendencies like fear, greed and envy when it comes to investing, it’s so much easier to say than it is to practice.


Life itself is no different.


The other day I posted a comment on James Altucher’s blog. If you haven’t read the Altucher Confidential, you really should take a look. He writes in an entertaining way and addresses universal emotions and trials by recounting his own life experiences.


However, in response to the comment, I received a reply that was interesting, to say the least and was the impetus for today’s theme.


My initial comment was in response to Altucher’s recommendation to author wannabes to consider the route of self-publishing.


Once, self-publishing was only for the wealthy, those not minding to waste their money and the delusional.


These days, it’s a reasonable way to put out a product. Success is limited only by marketing efforts and ingenuity.


Speaking of which, take a look at an 11 year old’s contibution to the theatrical marketing efforts of Option to Profit. We’re still open to suggestions as to who to cast as the protagonist in the film version.


Obviously, having gone that route and increasingly happy with the results, I responded with my own experiences and as is often the case, in an attempt to increase readership of this blog and to spur book sales, I left a link to this site.


Thank you, James.


The response to my comment was:


“Hey AcsMan, just some constructive criticism for your blog. I tried to look around but I couldn’t stand it as it was just too full of google ads and irrelevant tag clouds…”


My initial reaction was, “it’s TheAcsMan. Only my parents call me AcsMan.”


Given that I am a dyed in the wool capitalist, I do use pay per click ads on my blog, but there’s only a single such ad on the home page and two ads on subsequent pages.


Not overly obtrusive or greedy.


Ever since using the ads as a source of revenue, the little waif that I’d taken in for humanitarian purposes, in addition to cheap labor, now gets two helpings of gruel daily.


What caught my attention though was the juxtaposition of the rational offer of constructive criticism together with the emotional comment  “…I couldn’t stand it…”


There was an imbalance in those thoughts that offended the rational portion of my brain and initially made me disinclined to even consider the overall message.


The emotional part of my brain doesn’t take kindly even to constructive criticism, but the essence of the unsolicited observation was correct.


In addition to the Google pay per click ads, a contextual text ad program was loaded a few days prior.


That revenue tool places annoying green underlines all over the text with links to largely irrelevant ads.


He was right. I couldn’t stand it either, but saying so sounded so much more refined coming from me.


It did look cheesey and was very distracting.


My words. Not his.


So the rational part of me removed those links, depite their proven ability to generate revenue and now Little Timmy will die.


As it turned out, the criticism was constructive and I’ve made the bearer an unpaid design consultant. Had the ads remained, I probably would have paid very handsomely.


But that core concept of rational versus emotional carried through to the first trading day of the week.


As writing today’s post, I came across a Tweet from one of my favorites, SellPuts. I’ve mentioned him before. He fits into the category of people that Tweet, yet I have no clue of what is being said, as I know knothing of fundamental chart analysis.


But SellPuts is entertaining and impassioned. I would guess that if you knew anything about technical analysis he would really be worth following, not only on Twitter, but on his website, as well.


Anyway, his 140 space or less piece of rational wisdom was “trade what you see not what you think.”


Perfectly said, although his usual stuff has more emotion attached.


Last week defied rational thought.


This week opened the same, although the rally faded by mid afternoon, as it did on Friday


I was faced with a bundle of cash sitting in my account as 30% of my portfolio was assigned following irrational moves in such holdings as Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Caterpillar and others.


Normally, I can’t sit for more than a few minutes with the cash burning in my pockets.


Despite knowing better I tend to be like a drunken sailor on shore leave and buy everything in sight, even in the face of a rally.


That’s not rational. I know it. I know that there’s a need to “Exercise Restraint to Prevent Premature Speculation,” but again. like all things emotional, it’s harder to do than to say.


Today, though, the rational side seemed to be in place and functioning much better than the portion of me that would be afraid of letting a rally slip away from me.


Remember the dangers of falling prey to the FOMO?”


But I was restrained.


I also tried to defer to my rational side in thinking that despite more talk about a melt up, it wasn’t going to happen this week.


So instead of furtively squandering the money, I sold calls a bit more deep in the money than usual in order to lock up some nice premiums, in anticipation of a fade in the underlying stocks.


The same anticipation that proved to be wrong last week.


Now part of that, though, was based a little on envy, since last month was my best ever for generating options premium income and thus far, after 2 weeks, the December cycle is middling.


Envy is a lot like FOMO, but I was really envious of November’s options premiums.


Along the way, I did find the time to buy shares or add to existing positions, but even those saw me sell deeper in the money calls than usual.


I picked up additional shares of Netflix, Mosaic, Sallie Mae and ProShares UltraSilver ETF and quickly sold calls.


I also opened up a sizeable position in Alcoa, despite today’s negative analyst comments and sold a combination of weekly calls and December 2011 calls. The prospect of a 2% premium for a single week appealed to both the emotional and rational brains.


The truly irrational side of me bought shares in Focus Media, to complement the puts that I had previously sold, as Muddy Waters does nothing to erase doubts about its recent activities.


And of course I sold the calls.


Despite the restraint, there still turned out to be too many trades to recount them all, as if you really cared. But if you do, just go to the Portfolio Transaction page.


Going into the last hour of the trading day, the market’s gains were mostly gone and I still had spending money.


Best of all, silver was beginning to look as if it was ready to give up the Ghost, having turned its early day gain around to a substanial loss.


That followed a disappointing week when silver did nothing but climb and I watched my short leveraged ETF fall.


Even worse, I’d prematurely bought back my calls, thereby returning a portion of the rich premiums.


I decided to be a spectator for the final hour.


At that point actual news began filtering in and was ultimately responsible for the reversal of the market’s fortune. WIth all of the component Euro nations being put on credit watch by Standard and Poors, there was less joy in Mudville, but more joy on my La-Z-Boy.


It wasn’t quite like seeing a roadside deer, but I was happy to relax after churning out 24 trades for the day.


What makes me especially happy, if I can delay jury duty for yet another day, is that there may be some bargains to be had tomorrow and I still have cash.


That almost never happens.


The emotional side of me is chomping at the bit at the prospect of actually timing it like that.


The rational side is beginning to warm to the emotions of the moment and is likely to cede all control if the market takes a breather and then some tomorrow


Hell, we may even be able to make .enough to feed Timmy anyway.


Screw those obnoxious green underlined words. We didn’t need them anyway.


And from both sides of my brain, a special thank you to DannyBoy990. 


 




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I Want to Testify






There comes a time in all of our lives when we’ve behaved in one of those really annoying Holier than Thou” kind of ways.


People who do so on a regular basis, and I include myself in that category, come in various shapes, sizes and flavors. The world of faith, that of politics and certainly the world of finance have all seen their fair share of characters espousing the kinds of attitudes that have most people praying for someone to be taken down a notch or two.


Jerry FallwellJerry Fallwell, John Edwards and Bernie Madoff come to mind very quickly.


There are so many more of the one time high flying, but then fallen angels, than I could possibly ever fit into the pages of this blog.


But in America our fallen stars can recover and become rehabilitated so quickly. Probably no  nation in the world practices the concept of foregiveness as well as we do in America.


Either that, or our collective short term memory has taken a really big hit from way too many ganja hits over the years. 


How else do you explain the phenomenon of Newt Gingrich?


Along with the late Henry Hyde (R – Illinois), no two were more vocal and critical of Bill Clinton when his literal and figurative peccaddillloes came to light.


Hyde trumped them all by having a ‘baby momma” hidden from the public’s views for all those years, although Gingrich wasn’t far behind.


Gandhi was reported to have said “I like your Christ, but I do not like your Christians.”


Of course, these days, that quote would be artisitically toyed with a bit by the likes of Jon Stewart to something like “I like Christ, but Christians? Eh, not so much.”


He then would be castigated by someone who shouldn’t be throwing stones from inside a glass broadcast booth (On FOX).


But I stray.


As always, this is about me.


I feel a need to testify as I’ve been moved by the spirit.


At least the spirit in the profits I may have left on the table this past week.


Admittedly, last week didn’t turn out that badly for me. While the S&P 500 was up by 7.4%, I lagged by only 0.2%, having had a good day on Friday, when the market gave all 150 points back.


But it was more of a case of what could have been.


Over the years I’d been fairly immune from making stupid trades. Especially the kind that I describing as picking crumbs, when I try to squeeze out any last bits of option sale related income.


But not this week.


And I feel a need to cleanse myself and confess my sins. By so doing, I also feel a need to testify in the name of profits.


Not prophets.


Profits.


This past week I started by doubting all thouse dismissing Monday’s 300 point run up as nothing more than a “dead cat bounce.” The chorus was too uniform to be true. The devil’s cacophony always overwhelms the sweetly melodius hymns of the angels in the battle for our souls.


As it turns out, I was right about that, but not right about which way to go when the chorus changed its tune.


By mid-week the chorus was calling for a melt-up in stock prices.


Having no faith in the powers of the voices that be, my sinful self opted to go counter to the wave and sold calls on whatever I could that would be expiring on Friday.


Just an example of my personal greed trying to take advantage of the leveraged greed of call option buyers.


By Wednesday I’d sold calls on Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Caterpillar, Hallliburton and Freeport McMoRan.


For sake of brevity, I’ll leave out those sales for which I have no regrets.


Actually, if I really wanted to be brief I would have done it the other way around, but the backspace button is such an onerous chore.


Of course, those shares that I mentioned just rode the wave and then some.


As the market decided to go with the good employment numbers on Friday and the market took off, I just knew that the wave would ebb.


I also just knew that the meteoric rise in Silver prices would reverse.


So with the confidence that only a “holier than though” trader could muster, I also sold calls on JP Morgan in the firm knowledge that my own brand of faith, that of the wisdom of TheAcsMan, would prevail.


To top it off, I also bought back all of my calls in the ProShares UltraShort Silver ETF, limiting options premium related profits in the supreme confidence that there were even more and bigger premiums in the world to come in a day or so.


But in a blast of truly divine contra-intervention, JP Morgan shares just took off, while the rest of the market began the fade that I so smugly knew would be happening.


Silver?


Oh yeah. It went up some more and in my case, up is bad.


When it was all said and done for the week and the last day of the trading week, I’d won one the battle, but lost the war. Although I had more right decisions and trades than not, it was the one that was not that sent me into reflection.


JP Morgan Chase.


Now, I’m no Gandhi. Lord knows the extra 2 inches necessary in that pair of pants will testify to that, but at least I could reflect.


Holier than thou? Richer than thou? Richer than the me that could have been?


No, maybe and no.


Among the things that I discuss in Option to Profit are the need to dismiss human emotilons of greed and fear. Since then, I’ve also added the need to banish the fear of mssing out.


The sale of last minute calls hoping to capture some extra crumbs worth of premiums is consistent with not being worried about missing out on the kind of totally unexpected gains that could materialize in just a second.


That’s exactly what happened with JP Morgan.


Earlier in the week itr had also happened with Caterpillar, as it went up more than 7% on a day that the Dow went up by just a bit less than 5%.


Now some in the chorus will chant that Caterpillar was unnecssarily beaten fdown in the days before that 490 point gain and that observation would be correct, but it’s certainly not a reason. It’s just an observation, as there were many stocks that were beaten down, but did not bounce back disproportionately.


Jesus wasn’t the only one crucified.


So I lament the loss of Caterpillar, as well, as the heretics exercise their right to take my shares.


But just as Henry Hyde, Tammy Faye Baker and others, the mighty all seem to fall. So too will Caterpillar.


Remember Ozymandias?


Of course you don’t. He never really existed, but Shelley used the mythical Ozymandias to make a point.


Actually, the reason you don’t remember is that no one reads Shelley and Ozymandias was actually another name for the historical Pharoah, Ramses.


But again, that damn backspace. So much easier to go forward than to linger in the past and try to correct those mistakes.


But just as some whose stars fade and never return, Caterpillar will do so and I’ll be there to welcome it back into the stable.


Of course, what would have been much easier and certainly more satisfying would be to use life’s backspace button and “Give me One More Chance.”


In all likelihood, using that backspace option would do nothing, because I wouldn’t have taken profits in my JP Morgan shares, anyway.


Like most investors, it’s easy to say that you need to banish “Greed.” but to do so is really pretty hard.


Ultimately, that’s what really seperates us from the animals. Our inability to learn from our mitakes is distinctive, as usually our mistakes don’t kill us.


We all seem to share the human tendency of not recognizing when it’s time to sell. Instead of selling JP Morgan shares at their peak, most of us will just watch it go back down as it retraces its ascent downward and will then watch it ascend again.


How sad that we keep making the same mistakes. But at least we live to see another day.


That’s what America is about.


Where else can you make the same mistakes, yet rise again, Newt? (Although I do consider him to be an animal.)


As with every Monday, there’s yet another chance to “Do it One More Time” and see whether the deathbed conversion will actually hold.


I’ve seen my personal Profit and Loss statement and I’ve felt the need to cleanse, but damn it, this is America and I get another shot for redemption, as well as another chance to fall and rise and fall again.


Linday Lohan and all of those who ever sang “Give Me One More Chance” would all be envious.


 




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Jury Duty

Happy Birthday to J. Bartholomew Pick

I’m a fairly boring guy. I don’t think I’ve ever initiated a social interaction in my life. Which works out well with my sedentary lifestyle that has me tethered to the La-Z-Boy, only occasionally reaching out for my keyboard and mouse.

The fact that La-Z-Boy stock surged today didn’t do much for me as I’ve never owned the stock, only the lifestyle.

Yet, despite immensely enjoying my sedentary lifestyle, today I learned that there are consequences. Seeing a family of field mice escape from my stomach folds while I was being measured by a tailor for pant alterations was embarrasing, but it’s not as if I’ll ever see that tailor again.

At least, not if Immigration and Naturalization arrives before next Tuesday, 5 PM.

The very idea that my elastic banded Jorts weren’t going to fit me for life hasn’t really caused my to rethink the physical aspect of sedentary life, just as long as that cognitive part keeps on moving.

However, that comfort and solitude promises to be disrupted as I’ve received my first ever notice to be called for jury duty.

Since I went to a high school that was focused on math and the sciences, that didn’t leave too much time for civics lessons. My guess is that a class mate of mine, David Viniar who has served as CFO of Goldman Sachs did find the time to take Civics classes in secret, because I’ve heard no one impugn his name or reputation over the past few difficult years over at Goldman.

But yeah, I know that it’s my responsibility. Yeah, yeah, I’ve heard it before.

Here’s the thing.

Not that I’m complaining, but the county that I live in has almost no meaningful crime.

Sure, if its your mailbox that’s been knocked over it’s pretty major. But if I’m going to do anything, whether it’s social or civic duty related, I want it to be exciting.

The one potentially exciting and seedy case that our local newspaper reports will be starting next week is one that I would have to recuse myself from, as the defendant used to attend cub scout meetings in our basement a dozen years ago. Sugar Momma was a Den Mother and my youngest son was in the troop.

Glad I have that excuse and won’t have to pull out any of the other excuses I’d prepared nor display any of the tics that I’ve been working on.

But that’s exactly why this week has been sort of maddening. We’ve had alternating days of real excitement in the markets punctuated by real snoozers. I want excitement all the time, unless it’s the one way excitement of falling off a metaphorical cliff.

Thursday was one of the snoozers, other than for the field mice discovery. I didn’t make a single trade and never even came close.

My hoped for drop in Silver prices never materialized, nor did falls in Visa or Green Mountain Coffee Roasters occur in response to my wishes.

Small drops in Halliburton and Caterpillar were only symbolic and won’t do anything to stave off those who are there to exercise their options.

In Green Mountain’s case, despite all of the controversy, I may end up doing something unusual tomorrow.

Controversy? It’s not even a Chinese company.

I’m on the hook to have my shares assigned at $52.50. For that particular lot of shares, that would represent a loss of $17 per share. That figure doesn’t take into account the additional lot that I bought after the big earnings related price plunge and subsequently had assigned to me with a small capital gain and a nice options premium.

More importantly, that loss doesn’t include $12.66 per share in cumulative option premiums since the position was opened 5 weeks ago. If you add the capital gain from the other lot and the $1.56/share options premium from using the Having a Child, Save a Life strategy the loss isn’t terribly onerous.

Although I can justify taking the loss on the underlying shares by taking advantage of the tax loss, the speculative side of me is saying that despite the bad press and accounting overhang, Green Mountain still has upside. To allow the shares to be exercised would eliminate the tax deduction in the event that I repurchsaed the shares with the terms of the wash sales rule.

Instead, I may end up closing out the options position by buying back the calls.

The upside? A tax loss on the options trade and the opportunity to continue holding shares for either capital gains or more option premiums.

The downside? A capital loss on the options trade and the potential for the bottom to fall out from underneath the shares.

See? That’s exciting

Sedentary, yes. But exciting.

In general, Monday tends to be a busy trading day for me as I add new positions to replace assigned shares and try to sell as many call options as possible.

Then Thursdays tend to be busy as well, as I look for any opportunities to squeeze pennies out of whatever positions remain unhedged. Those weekly options are just great for that kind of activity.

But not today and I don’t see much happening tomorrow, either. You would have been reasonable to think that China’s report of a decreased PMI, as a measure of industrial activity, for the first time since their hosting of the Olympics would have been a little reason to take profits.

Instead, we’ll just have to await official employment numbers tomorrow.

I hate to be curmudgeonly, and I certainly want to see people being able to find employment, but despite calls for a good number, I’m hoping that the market reacts negatively.

Or positively.

First of all, the numbers are always in arrears and are always subject to revision. Those revisions are consistent and sometimes significant.

Lately, there’s been much anectdotal evidence that “things are getting better.” That may be more meaningful than tomorrow’s report.

While the reporting of aged employment statistics may yield bad news, it’s sepia compared to 16 million colors, as far as snapshots go.

From my perspective, I usually like up Fridays if my sold options are out of the money and down Fridays if they’re in the money.

Tomorrow, I’m equally split.

On most Mondays that I’ve had lots of calls exercised I like to see a big downwrd move so that I can repurchase shares at less than the price at which they were assigned.

Again, I’m equally split.

I feel like a little kid having a tantrum, not really knowing what he wants.

Although my body does well with a paucity of activity, other than the insidiously developing midriff bulge, my brain begins to smoke when being torn in opposite directions.

Whereas the comparison of sepia to 16 million colors clearly favors the accuracy of the details contained in colors, my mind prefers black or white conditions.

Guilty or innocent?

Hmmm. Maybe this jury thing won’t be such a bad idea after all.

I wonder what model La-Z-Boys that have in the jury box?

 

 

 

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Wasted on Me






I was up for no really good reason at about 4 AM, particularly since I don’t consider Laszlo the Dog’s barking at a phantom menace to be a good reason.


Probably more out of instinct than anything else I pulled up the Bloomberg Mobile app on my phone while waiting for Laszlo to protect us from the blowing leaves and saw that the US Futures Market was reasonably flat and the Asian markets were doing nothing special.


I went back to bed neither excited nor dreading the open, expecting yet another quiet day. Maybe the kind of day that I could find the time to complete my furniture repositioning tasks left over from the past two days.


Well, for the very same reasons that it’s hard to justify sneaking away to attend to personal hygiene needs, a lot can happen on the international scene.


China decided to loosen up its banks’ reserve requirements.


That apparently is a good thing as far as liquidity goes. Although Chinese companies may not like to abide by standard accounting principles, it does seem that basic economic laws apply, even in the People’s Republic.


Ben Bernanke - Mythical LumberjackAs if that wouldn’t have been enough, the European Central Bank and our own Federal Reserve decided to coordinate action to allow foreign banks to access US dollars at lower cost.


What those ECB guys didn’t realize was that those American Airline Frequent Flier miles that were thrown in to clinch the deal were going to be close to worthless.


Score another one for “The Bernank.”


It was hard, though, to hear all of the cheering from the trading pits, what with the sound of Bernanke led chainsaws felling forests worth of lumber destined for the Treasury’s printing presses.


I like Bernanke and think that his calm guidance likely rescued us from the kind of economic travesty that our generation could not possibly endure.


Besides, tell me that Bernanke doesn’t look like a highly stylized and mythical lumberjack.


As it would turn out this would be one of those rare market days when there was no real attempt to sell into strength. The green just kept getting more green.


To my shock, I never once heard anyone refer to the nearly 500 point gain as resulting from “shorts covering their positions,” although with two minutes left to go until the final bell, Bob Pisani of CNBC commented on the light volume.


Of course that’s come to be expected, but what was a bit different was that Maria Bartiromo who made precisely the same observation on Monday, chided Pisani for his Grinch-like assessment.


Ha Ha.


As great as today was, after all what’s not to like about a bonus 500 points? But it was wasted on me, much like a box of fine wine.


I’m still a Manischewitz kind of guy.


Things being wasted on me has been a theme the past couple of days, although it hasn’t always proven to be accurate.


This past Thursday, for example, my kids had 3 tickets to the Ravens and 49ers football game. Since I’m not a huge football fan, I asked my kids if they didn’t want to take one of their friends instead, since my level of appreciation was likely low when compared to your usual football louts.


I really thought that those tickets were wasted on me.


But hearing what every parent would love to hear, they said they wanted to go with me to the game. The fact that it was unseasonably warm for a Thanksgiving evening gave me no real out, but as it turned out, not one bit of it was wasted.


We had a great time and it was a wonderful game and evening, although I still can’t remember why I have some biker chick’s name tattooed on my neck. The kids said I did it as a dare after downing a bottle of whipped cream Vodka.


Whatever. So I guess they’ll just have to bury me in the thieves and unholy section of the Jewish Cemetery.


Well rested and prepared for a nice trading day on Monday, I was noticing a steady stream of Tweets directed to me from a number of different people, each of whom had more followers than the typical spammer.


What made these Tweets interesting was that they believed that I had any clue of wnat they were talking about:


I may make about 1500 trades a year, but I have absolutely no ability or desire to engage in “Chart speak.” I see colors and occasionally dead people and have never hidden that fact.


Look, I’ve owned shares of Riverbed Technology for the better part of 4 years and still have no idea what they actually do.


Don’t really care.


“$GOOG Bullish Tri Star Candlestick Pattern…” I know Google, but the rest?


What the hell does that mean?


$SLM CCI is bullish” Again. Sallie Mae and I? Old friends, but what’s that you say?


Again, no clue.


And there were more from where those come from.


There’s also a very nice person who follows me on Twitter who is extremely polite and thoughtful. If I retweet one of his tweets or a link to his page, he sends me a “Thank You” direct message. Not the Anthony Weiner kind, but one that sincere and grateful. He also very graciously retweeted one of mine yesterday alerting readers of the migration of Szelhamos.com to its new home at TheAcsMan.com


Very nice. Right?


I’ve looked at his blog site, Chartsmarts, and he is clearly far more serious, organized, analytical and capable than am I.


If we went back about 10 years or so, I might be able to understand, or at least have the interest in understanding his passion and output.


I was never a very good one to actually pay attention and never really did well by listening or reading as a proxy for learning. I tended to be the sort that had to deconstruct things to be able to learn them. On rare occasion I’d actually successfully reconstruct what I’d demolished in the name of knowledge.


I still do that, but the problem is that I’m no longer able to retain what I’ve learned in my short term memory banks, so I do lots of deconstructing, but then lose interest in the reconstruction phase of the process.


A few years ago, realizing that to be the case and really wanting to learn PHP and MySQL (don’t ask me to explain), I actually bought one of the “…..for Idiots” books.


After a couple of chapters I threw in the towel.


I wish I had Chartsmarts’ skill, drive and good will. I follow very few people on Twitter. He’s one. Even though it’s wasted on me, there’s no reason for it to be wasted on you, so follow Douglas Busch


Now, what was really wasted on me was the last 500 points.


To some degree, that’s an exaggeration, but my holdings have underperformed the markets through these last 800 Dow points. 


While the S&P 500 has gone up 7.6% this week, I’m only up 6.6%. That still leaves me in the 1% group, so you needn’t worry.


Most of that, actually all of it and then some, is due to the marked underperformance of the ProShares UltraSilver the past 5 trading sessions or so, as silver has kept rising. In fact, today I was able to buy back all of the call positions that I’d sold this month in anticipation of another drop in silver prices and a rise in the leveraged short ETF.


Some of those marked the second such closing trade, so I’m not moaning about the past few trading sessions’ performance.


But as this 500 point surge came out of nowhere, I’ve been caught a little flat footed, having hedged about half of my existing positions and either already at prices close to their strikes or now comfortably in the money.


Did you foresee a $7 rise in Caterpillar today?


Me neither. My risk/reward on this most recent round of call writing on Caterpillar is nothing to write home about, but still, profit is profit.


Although Caterpillar has been very nice to me, especially due to having sold weekly options on a regular basis, today’s rise puts it will above my $92.50 strike at which shares will be assigned. Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Visa and Halliburton may share the same fate after today’s surge.


What wasn’t lost on me was comparing the chorus cries of Monday’s “Dead Cat Bounce” to the same talking heads warning of a melt upward going forward.


Once again, as the chorus cries get louder, just this time in a different direction, it’s time to look back to the other and original direction.


The history of government intervention is often measured in days, as reflected by the equity markets, so I can’t get too excited about what it will bring us tomorrow or the day after.


Although I don’t see the melt up quite yet, hopefully today’s bold moves won’t be wasted, at least not on my account.


Maybe then, once we get all of these banking disaster stories out of the way, we can get back to our old habit of bouncing from one fundamentals report to the next and then conveniently forgetting yesterday’s earth shattering report to make way for today’s Andy Warhol like data release.


It’s been a shame wasting those.


I miss the old days.


 


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