Santa Steals Away Joy from Retailers

santaclausFollowing a pretty good day today, where we really did come close to the mystical 20,000 level of the DJIA,. there was a big surprise after the closing bell.

The surprise that came can give you just a little idea of how well anyone really knows what’s truly going on.

If you were following the market today, you may have noticed that national retailers were really strong.

In fact, I took the opportunity to sell some calls on a couple of lots of Macy’s shares that have been sitting around uncovered for the past week or so.

I like to at least consider selling calls, even if the strike price isn’t something to really make me salivate, as long as the shares are moving strongly at the time.

That described Macy’s, as it was more than $1 higher earlier in the trading session.

While I didn’t think about selling calls on Coach, Kohls, nor Abercrombie and Fitch, they too were all strongly higher during the day.

You may also remember that I sold calls on The Gap, yesterday.

Then a funny, well maybe not too funny thing happened after the close.

The bottom fell out as Macy’s and others reported the not so good Christmas sales news.

Sales stunk.

Not only did sales stink, but guidance was moved lower.

How could that be? Especially as the economy is supposedly heating up?

So we await tomorrow’s Employment Situation Report and will be left to wonder, if the news continues to be good, just where people are spending their money.

The obvious answer is that they’re doing it on Amazon or they’re just not spending it on old fashioned things like sweaters and place settings.

Maybe they’re spending it on streaming data plans. read more

January 2017 Trades

EFFECTIVE FEBRUARY 1, 2017, MONTHLY TRADES AT A GLANCE WILL NOW BE ACCESSIBLE THROUGH THE MAIN MENU USING THE “MONTHLY TRADES” PULLDOWN

 

 

 

 

 

Let the Partying Begin

partyfavor What a way to start the new year.

Not even close to the way 2016 started, but then again, 2016 wasn’t all that bad.

Right?

For a little while it looked as if 2017 was going to start off with a major disappointment as the market decided to do something that it hadn’t done for a while.

In fact, it hasn’t really happened since we accepted the fact that we were getting someone very unexpected as our new President.

What happened today was that the stock market actually followed oil, again.

That was the story for most of 2016 and the story worked out pretty well, as long as you didn’t sell your oil losers in 2015, or repeatedly went back to the literal and figurative well in pursuit of the gains.

Even though there wasn’t too much evidence that the rise in oil prices was actually tied to increasing demand, the stock market just looked at a year of slowly, if not steadily increasing oil prices, as a good thing.

Who would have guessed? read more

Week in Review – December 26 – 30, 2016

 

Option to Profit

Week in Review


December 26 – 30, 2016

NEW POSITIONS/STO NEW STO ROLLOVERS CALLS ASSIGNED/PUTS EXPIRED CALLS EXPIRED/PUTS ASSIGNED CLOSED EX-DIVIDEND
2  /   0 0 2 0   /   0 2   /   0 0 3

 

Weekly Up to Date Performance

December 26 – 30, 2016

Well, 2016 is over and the Christmas Rally came way too early and left nothing for the final week.

Surprisingly to me, I actually opened 2 new positions in the final week of the year.

Those new positions were 1.3% higher, as they outperformed the adjusted S&P 500 by 2.1% and the unadjusted S&P 500 by 2.4%, as the unadjusted S&P was 1.1% lower for the week to end the year 9.5% higher.

Existing positions outperformed the S&P 500 by 0.9%, but that still meant that they were lower 0.2% on the week.

Still it was a good 2016, even if the end wasn’t anything to write home about.

What was nice this week was the ability to rollover a few positions, even as 2 did expire and will begin 2017 uncovered.

There were also 3 ex-dividend positions on the week, although one of those was for only $0.01.

Also not much to write home about.

2016?

That I would write home about, though, even as there were so few closed positions for the year.


This was a mixed way to end the year, with the relative good news of outperforming the market, but without the good feeling that comes along with actually making money on paper.

Or the even better feeling of making money by closing a position.

What the week was good for was for generating some revenue and keeping the ball moving forward.

2016 was a good year for that as there were lots of rollover opportunities and lots of dividends, even as there weren’t anywhere near as many closed positions as I might have liked.

That leaves 2017 with cash on hand, stocks near their all time highs and a big question as to what the new administration will actually do.

I don’t have a clue, but I won’t be shy about using that cash and looking for opportunities.

Earnings season will be interesting as will the new President’s first State of the Union speech.

For now, I look at 2017 as being a continuation of where the past 2 to 3 weeks have been.

That means a continuing uncertainty about what tomorrow may hold.

But I think that tomorrow holds some good things regarding company profits and guidance and that there is more upside, but I would be very happy to see some profit taking bring us further away from the current levels.

That’s always easier to say than it is to live through and as I’m often reminded, you do need to be careful what you wish for.

I hope everyone has a Happy and a healthy New Year and is ready to enter 2017 with a continuing positive outlook.

This is the last Week in Review, but if you have the time and inclination, I’ll be posting periodically on TheAcsMan.com and will still try to have trades posted in real time.

Just much less of the other fare.

Thank you to all of the loyal subscribers that have stayed with me for so long and always in good humor and in constructive ways.

This week’s details may be seen in the Weekly Performance spreadsheet * or in the PDF file, as well as in the summary below

(Note: Duplicate mention of positions reflects different priced lots):



New Positions Opened:  BX, UA

Puts Closed in order to take profits:  none

Calls Rolled over, taking profits, into the next weekly cycle:   none

Calls Rolled over, taking profits, into extended weekly cycle:  MRO

Calls Rolled over, taking profits, into the monthly cycle: none

Calls Rolled Over, taking profits, into a future monthly cycle:  none

Calls Rolled Up, taking net profits into same cyclenone

New STO: none

Put contracts expired: none

Put contracts rolled over: CLF

Long term call contracts sold:  none

Calls Assigned:  none

Calls Expired:  none

Puts Assigned:  none

Stock positions Closed to take profits:  none

Stock positions Closed to take losses: none

Calls Closed to Take Profits: none

Ex-dividend Positions   CY (12/27 $0.11), GPS (12/30 $0.23)

Ex-dividend Positions Next Week: BMY (1/4 $0.39)

For the coming week the existing positions have lots that still require the sale of contracts:   AGQ, ANF, AZN, BBBY, BBY, CHK, CLF, COH, CSCO,  CY, DOW, FAST, FCX, GDX, GM, GPS, HAL, HFC, HPQ, INTC, IP, JCP, JOY, KMI, KSS, LVS, MCPIQ, MOS, NEM, RIG, WFM, WLTGQ, WY (See “Weekly Performance” spreadsheet or PDF file)



* If you don’t have a program to read or modify spreadsheets, you can download the OpenOffice Suite at no cost.



Daily Market Update – December 30, 2016

 

 

Daily Market Update –  December 30, 2016 (7:30 AM)


The Week in Review will be posted by 10 PM and for the first time in years, there will be no Weekend Update..

The following trade outcomes are possible today:

Assignments: none

Rollovers: UA

Expirations:   M

The following were ex-dividend this week:    CY (12/27 $0.11), JOY (12/28 $0.01), GPS (12/30 $0.23)

The following are ex-dividend next week:  BMY (1/4 $0.39)


Trades, if any, will be attempted to be made prior to 3:30 PM EDT

HAPPY NEW YEAR TO ALL AND BEST WISHES FOR A WONDERFUL 2017

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