Option to Profit Week in Review
February 24 – 28, 2014
 
NEW POSITIONS/STO NEW STO ROLLOVERS CALLS ASSIGNED/PUTS EXPIRED CALLS EXPIRED/PUTS ASSIGNED CLOSED
5 / 5 4 8 4 / 0 2  / 0 0

    

Weekly Up to Date Performance

February 24 – 28, 2014

New purchases matched the time adjusted S&P 500 this week but fell behind the unadjusted index by 0.3% during a week that set another new closing high just a few short weeks after hitting the bottom of a correction attempt.

The market showed an adjusted gain for the week of 0.9% and unadjusted gain of 1.3% for the week, while new positions gained  1.0%.

For positions positions closed in 2014, performance exceeded that of the S&P 500 by 1.3%. They were up 3.2% out-performing the market by 71.7%.

For a week that didn’t have much in the way of news it was one with some significant back and forth price shifts going on and one that seemed very tied to technical factors.

Sometimes even I become a believer in that sort of thing as it did seem to be more than a coincidence that the market was so responsive to the number 1850.

After those technical issues only in the final hour did current events sneak into the equation as worries about the situation in the Crimea temporarily took the market from a 120 point gain to a 20 point loss before closing higher to end the week. For the week there was really no impact from news nor data.

With the potentially critical news coming from Crimea and the market hovering at that 1850 level I was actually surprised that the selling didn’t continue as the old market axiom is to not go into a weekend of uncertainty holding long positions.

It has been a very, very long time since anyone has actually listened to that axiom. The pattern over the past five years is that nothing gets in the way of the market’s progress.

At least not for very long, so most have been unwilling to let go of their positions for fear of missing out.

The market being able to come back from the quick event driven sell-off can only be seen as another in a series of optimistic signs that point toward continued strength.

Otherwise, the biggest news of the week was the return of select retailers despite generally lackluster numbers that simply didn’t disappoint already lowered expectations.

In the absence of any really meaningful news the market simply kept its eye on the previous closing high on the S&P 500 and tested it a couple of times. The previous script for the past numerous attempts at a correction all read the same and Friday’s attempt at a strong close to end the week was perfectly in line with the past.

Despite coming off those highs the realization that the final hour’s fall was event driven should allow optimism to continue to reign, unless the event in Russia and Ukraine unfolds some more over the course of the weekend.

The week was another busy one with continued ability to rollover positions and find some new cover, as well.

The only regret of the week is having executed a DOH trade on Target, never imagining that it still had another 5% upside left in it after already having gone 5% higher after announcing its earnings.

Not
quite ready to take that loss at least there was an opportunity to try and wait shares out by rolling forward two weeks and perhaps seeing some price give back, thereby allowing a chance to participate in any further price strength in the future.

At least that’s the story that I’m going to go with.

With some assignments, although two fewer with the final hour drop in shares of General Electric and YUM Brands, there is enough replenishment of reserves to provide some security cushion when approaching next week and looking for new opportunities.

Other than the Target rollover, all of the other rollovers for this week were simply to the following week. Part of that was because the low volatility isn’t offering very many good premiums by going out in time.

While I would like to diversify the time expirations of the contracts some more, such as going to March 14, 2014, it’s hard to want to tie up the funds for more than a week when so little is achieved in return.

But as always, once the week begins anything goes.

 

 

 

     

This week’s details may be seen in the Weekly Performance spreadsheet * or in the PDF file, as well as as in the summary.below

(Note: Duplicate mention of positions reflects different priced lots):



New Positions Opened:  CHK, COH, HFC, SBUX, VZ

Puts Closed in order to take profits:  none

Calls Rolled over, taking profits, into the next weekly cycle:   AIG, APC, GE, LULU, MSFT, SBUX, YUM

Calls Rolled over, taking profits, into extended weekly cycle:  TGT

Calls Rolled over, taking profits, into the monthly cycle:  none

Calls Rolled Over, taking profits, into a future monthly cycle:  none

Calls Rolled Up, taking net profits into same cyclenone

New STO:  FAST, INTC, LB, TGT

Put contracts sold and still open: none

Put contracts expired: none

Put contract rolled over: none

Long term call contracts sold:  none

Calls Assigned:  LOW, MA, MOS, VZ

Calls Expired: CSCO, INTC

Puts Assigned:  none

Stock positions Closed to take profits:  none

Stock positions Closed to take losses: none

Calls Closed to Take Profits: none

Ex-dividend Positions:  LO (2/26 $0.615), WY (2/26 $0.22)

 

 

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For the coming week the existing positions have lots that still require the sale of contracts:   AGQ, C, CSCO, CLF, COP, DRI, FCX, INTC,  JCP,  MCP, MOS,  MRO, NEM, PBR, PM, RIG,  WFM, WLT (See “Weekly Performance” spreadsheet or PDF file)



* If you don’t have a program to read or modify spreadsheets, you can download the OpenOffice Suite at no cost.



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